paradise waits on the crest of a wave
TNF. Week 7!
Let’s take a look at teams ranked by remaining strength of schedule with opponents over and under .500:
Now, let’s zoom in a little bit more and look at the two-win teams:
New England Patriots
Tennessee Titans
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
Denver Broncos
New York Giants
LA Chargers
Historically, this is how many two-win teams go on to make the playoffs:
So, assuming one or two of these teams will be competing in January, let’s evaluate which one it’ll be. Based on that strength of schedule chart, the Titans have it the easiest.
Here are Draftkings Odds for those same teams to make the playoffs:
LA Chargers (+180)
Green Bay Packers (+185)
Tennessee Titans (+360)
New England Patriots (+1120)
Chicago Bears (+1500)
Denver Broncos (+1800)
New York Giants (+2500)
For the brave readers out there who feel like taking a future, there could be some value. Leave a comment below on who your best bet is.
Numbers
40: Sam Howell has 40 sacks through seven games, on pace to shatter NFL record.
3: Kirk Cousins has recorded 3 games with 350+ passing yards through Week 7. No other QB has more than 1 such game.
5.5: Deonte Banks has allowed a league-low -5.5 receptions over expected this season, the 3rd-fewest of any rookie through Week 7 since 2018. Banks has allowed just 4.2 yards per target this season, trailing only Denzel Ward (3.8) among cornerbacks (min. 20 targets).
4 [TRIVIA]: Bryce Young vs. CJ Stroud will be the fifth meeting between rookie QBs selected 1st & 2nd overall in the common draft era. Can you name the other four?
Quotes
“Those guys catch a punt and everybody is just like, ‘Oh, that’s what you’re supposed to do.’ If something can goes wrong back there, it can cost you the game. Those guys, I really respect what they do.”
Sterling Shepard on punt returners
“If you’ve seen this offense go, it’s not where we would like. Everybody can agree with that. I’m not satisfied.”
Tyler Boyd is on pace for his quietest statistical season since 2017, and the Bengals have been missing his ability to create first downs.
"Why wouldn’t I want to play? I just worked my ass off for two years to get back and play."
Browns QB Deshaun Watson on people saying he doesn't want to play
“Everyone with a medical opinion has cleared Deshaun Watson. The situation is almost similar to a kid getting a $230 million trust fund. You ask them to get a job and they have no incentive to do it.”
Brady Quinn
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Picks
Thursday, 10/26 @ 8:15pm
Buccaneers vs. Bills : NO PICK
Record
ATS: 19-22-1 (-2.73u)
O/U: 10-12 (-1.82u)
Highlights
Travis Kelce is asked: "Do you have any advice for a rookie?"
Purdy gets violently hit helmet to helmet on the 3rd and 1 qb sneak at 7:03 in the 4th. After the hit he would go 2/6 with 2 interceptions.
Derek Carr mic'd up on the play to Olave last Thursday.
Dallas Goedert gets fired up after converting Brotherly Shove touchdown
Trivia
Manning vs Leaf
Winston vs Mariota
Lawrence vs Wilson
Bledsoe and Rick Mirer
Broncos +1800 feel like they may have turned a corner. Javonte getting healthy, russ using his legs, payton settling in.
Great stuff as always.